Global Economic Analysis -- Wrap(03/06/26)
(彭博⾏业研究) -- We anticipate US Nonfarm Payrolls(非农就业) to show tepid(不强劲-负面词) hiring in February as harsh winter weather and a labor strike at Kaiser Permanante weighed on job growth. In the euro area, we poke holes in(对..提出质疑) the ECB's sunny narrative(叙事) about 2025 growth "resilience." China cut its official GDP growth target, meanwhile, but stimulus will remain strong. Elsewhere, we cover weak Australian consumer spending, and track how the war in the Middle East is ripping through(严重影响) economies in Southeast Asia and Africa.
第一部分: 读内容
1. We anticipate US nonfarm payrolls to show tepid hiring in February as harsh winter weather and a labor strike at Kaiser Permanente weighed on job growth.
我们预计 美国2月份非农就业(NFP) 的招聘增长将 比较疲弱,因为 严寒的冬季天气 以及 Kaiser Permanente 的劳工罢工 对就业增长造成了拖累。
2. In the euro area, we poke holes in the ECB's sunny narrative about 2025 growth "resilience."
在 欧元区,我们对 European Central Bank 关于 2025年经济“具有韧性”增长 的乐观叙述提出质疑,并指出其中存在的问题。
3. China cut its official GDP growth target, meanwhile, but stimulus will remain strong.
与此同时,China 下调了官方 GDP 增长目标,不过 刺激政策仍然会保持强劲。
4. Elsewhere, we cover weak Australian consumer spending, and track how the war in the Middle East is ripping through economies in Southeast Asia and Africa.
此外,我们还讨论了 Australia 消费者支出疲软的问题,并追踪 中东战争 如何正在严重冲击 东南亚和非洲经济体。
全球经济是市场疲软.
第二部分: 学英语
1. Tepid 温度不高的不低的—tepid water, tepid tea, tepid soup —不强劲的, 不太好的, 不热烈的
Tepid demand 需求疲软: The new product saw tepid demand.
Tepid growth 增长疲软: The economy is experiencing tepid growth.
strong—solid—moderate —tepid —weak
2. Weigh on 对…造成压力, 对…形成了拖累/负面影响
e.g. Inflation continues to weigh on the market.
e.g. Rising oil prices weigh on consumer spending.
e.g. The decision weighted on his mind. —(what’s on your mind? —what’s in your mind?)
3. Resilience 韧性 (re-往回 + sil-sult- 弹跳—result) —-antifragility 反脆弱
4. Poke holes in 对…提出质疑
e.g. New evidence pokes holes in the theory.
e.g. Critics poked holes in the proposal.
5. Stimulus 刺激—刺激政策 (stim—sting 死叮) —radius
6. Rip through 严重冲击(rip 撕裂—through)
e.g. The crisis is ripping through emerging markets.
e.g. The army ripped through enemy’s defenses.